Bank of America Could Bring Forward $100 Oil Target In Event Of Cold Winter

Bank of America Global Research said it could bring forward its $100 per barrel oil price target to the next six months from mid-2022 if the winter is colder than usual, potentially driving a surge in demand and widening a supply deficit.

A much colder than normal winter could lead global oil demand to surge by 1 to 2 million barrels per day (mbpd), with the winter supply shortfall easily exceeding 2 mpbd in such a scenario, the bank said in a note dated Sept. 10.

The bank maintained its Brent price forecast for the second half of 2021 at $70 a barrel, predicting range-bound prices, but said it saw Brent at $75/bbl by year end on “growing upside risks.”

“We project modest deficits over the coming months that should support oil prices into year-end and beyond,” analysts at the bank said in the note.

Continue reading »

Source: Reuters